2. Find the dependency ratio, is it high or low?
The dependency ratio for China is approximately 38%, which is a low dependency ratio.
3. Describe the situation in the country based on the info in your population pyramid(births, deaths, health, age, male/female, type of pyramid, stage in DTM etc.)
From the population pyramid, we can see the majority part of Chinese population is between 25-29 years old and 45-49 years old. The amount of male population is 10 million more than the female population. The population of aging people has been increasing. Both birth rates and death rates are low in China, so China is stage 4 in demographic transition model. From the shape of pyramid, we can know China’s population is low fluctuating
4. Explain what the country needs to prepare for in the near future and why you think that. (Health, population, business, policies, etc. Connect this to your observations)
China is in stage 4, which is stable population increase, declining birth and death rates and more elderly people. First, as the population of China increasing, many people will not find the job, so loss of jobs is one of biggest issues in China. The Chinese government has established a population policy that called one child policy. The policy is limit fertility, which means each family only can have one child and if more than one child in a family that will be illegal. Also, I think China need to build more tall buildings, expand the business of China that gives more opportunity for young people, improve the health care for aging people and enhance education.
The population pyramid of New Zealand gives a lot of insight into the state of the country. Based on the pyramid, the overall male population seems approximately equal to the overall female population, however it appears as though there are more younger males and more older females. The pyramid also shows that most death occur after the age of 54 and there are plenty of children under the age of 4- proving a high birth rate, but it appears as though birth rates are a little lower then they have been in the past. The general health of the population could be improved upon, however it is not that inefficient because there appears to be quite a few people that live past the age of 70. The type of pyramid that this most closely resembles would be the stable stage, which corresponds to stage three of the demographic transition model. This means that birth rates as well as death rates are falling and there is a slow or stable population increase.
Explain what the country needs to prepare for in the near future and why you think that. (health, population, business, policies, etc. Connect this to your observations)
There are a few things that New Zealand should take in to consideration in order to ensure the stability of their country. The first is that the population of people between the ages of 40 and fifty is very large. These people are not that are not far away from retirement age which means that the New Zealand healthcare system should upgrade to ensure they can properly care for the large influx of older people. Another thing that should be taken into consideration is the fact that the birth rate is falling. This means that there will not be as many children entering the school system, which lessens the need for elementary education. In terms of businesses, they should start gearing their services to a more elderly to middle-aged demographic. For example a housing company could start downsizing their houses and ensuring there are no stairs or there are elevators available for easy access. Overall, New Zealand does not have to worry too much about or their general economy. Their dependency ratio should remain low because there are a pretty equal amount of people leaving the workforce as there are people entering it.
You seem to have Iman’s write up about New Zealand posted here… not sure why.
With China, you can actually see that the 0-4 cohort is larger than the 5-9 which might suggest an increase in birth rates again. China is doing this because they foresee many workers retiring with few youths entering the workforce. In the next 5-10 years, China’s dependency ratio is going to rise quite quickly unless they stabilize the population, rather than shrink it.